Dinámica de la difusión tecnológica en las economías desarrolladas y en desarrollo: un análisis de las tecnologías de información y comunicación (TIC)

  • Adriano Cristian Gewehr UNISINOS
  • Janaina Ruffoni Trez UNISINOS
  • Alexsandro Marian Carvalho UNISINOS
Palabras clave: Difusión, Innovación, Países en desarrollo, Países desarrollados

Resumen

¿Cómo es la dinámica del proceso de difusión de las TIC en los países desarrollados y en desarrollo? La investigación se basó en el modelo Bass (1969) y utilizó los datos de consumo empírico para el G7 y los BRICS. Los principales resultados fueron: i) el modelo ajustó las curvas de difusión con tasas de error bajas [.2% -5.1%]; ii) no hay relación directa entre la velocidad y el nivel de desarrollo; iii) los países desarrollados han alcanzado el punto de inflexión en el proceso de difusión antes que los países en desarrollo; iv) en algunos países solo aproximadamente la mitad de la población tendrá acceso a internet. En los países en desarrollo, el proceso para captar nuevos adoptadores es lento, y mientras los países desarrollados están alcanzando la saturación, en la mayoría de los países en desarrollo estas tecnologías aún tienen potencial para la difusión.

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Publicado
2019-12-20
Cómo citar
Gewehr, A., Trez, J., & Carvalho, A. (2019). Dinámica de la difusión tecnológica en las economías desarrolladas y en desarrollo: un análisis de las tecnologías de información y comunicación (TIC). Estudios Económicos, 36(73), 71-107. Recuperado a partir de https://revistas.uns.edu.ar/ee/article/view/1368
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