Subsídios agrícolas e comércio internacional: quais são as implicações sobre as exportações mundiais e brasileiras?

Michelle Márcia  Viana Martins; Alicia Cechin; Scarlett  Queen Almeida Bispo; Fernanda de Araújo Pedrosa; Marcelo José  Braga Nonnenberg

doi:10.52292/j.estudecon.2024.3508

Autores/as

Michelle Márcia Viana Martins Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada; Universidade Federal de Viçosa, Brasil https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0790-5625
Alicia Cechin Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, Brasil https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6816-1797
Scarlett Queen Almeida Bispo Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, Brasil https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1034-7433
Fernanda de Araújo Pedrosa Escola Nacional de Ciências Estatísticas, Brasil
Marcelo José Braga Nonnenberg Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, Brasil https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9854-5137

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.52292/j.estudecon.2024.3508

Palabras clave:

Subsídios, Apoio doméstico, Distorções comerciais, Competitividade

Resumen

O objetivo do estudo é estimar os efeitos dos subsídios agrícolas de países terceiros sobre as exportações agrícolas mundiais e brasileiras. O modelo gravitacional é aplicado para fluxos agrícolas agregados e desagregados por produtos, nos anos 2004 a 2019. O suporte ao produtor (PSE) afeta negativamente as exportações brasileiras e mundiais sob uma perspectiva das exportações agregadas do agronegócio. Partindo para uma análise mais detalhada no âmbito setorial, o subsídio específico por produto (SCT) tem relação positiva com as exportações brasileiras de soja, milho, carne bovina e suína, e negativa com envios de açúcar pelo Brasil.

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