Subsídios agrícolas e comércio internacional: quais são as implicações sobre as exportações mundiais e brasileiras?

Michelle Márcia  Viana Martins; Alicia Cechin; Scarlett  Queen Almeida Bispo; Fernanda de Araújo Pedrosa; Marcelo José  Braga Nonnenberg

doi:10.52292/j.estudecon.2024.3508

Authors

Michelle Márcia Viana Martins Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada; Universidade Federal de Viçosa, Brasil https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0790-5625
Alicia Cechin Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, Brasil https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6816-1797
Scarlett Queen Almeida Bispo Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, Brasil https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1034-7433
Fernanda de Araújo Pedrosa Escola Nacional de Ciências Estatísticas, Brasil
Marcelo José Braga Nonnenberg Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada, Brasil https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9854-5137

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.52292/j.estudecon.2024.3508

Keywords:

Subsidies, Domestic support, Agricultural exports, Trade distortions

Abstract

The aim of the study was to estimate the effects of agricultural subsidies from third countries on world and Brazilian agricultural exports. The gravitational model was applied to the agricultural flows aggregated and disaggregated by products, in the years 2004 to 2019. The results indicate that producer support negatively affects Brazilian and world exports from the perspective of aggregate agribusiness exports. Moreover, a more detailed analysis at the sectoral level revealed that the product-specific subsidy has a positive relationship with Brazilian exports of soy, corn, beef and pork, and a negative one with sugar shipments through Brazil.

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