O Comércio inexplorado entre Brasil e Ásia: uma abordagem através do modelo gravitacional

Sílvia Letícia Bampi; André Filipe Zago de Azevedo; Magnus dos Reis

doi:10.52292/j.estudecon.2020.1391

Authors

Sílvia Letícia Bampi Faculdade João Paulo II, Universidade de Passo Fundo (UPF), Brasil
André Filipe Zago de Azevedo Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos (Unisinos), Brasil
Magnus dos Reis Universidade do Vale do Rio dos Sinos (Unisinos), Brasil

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.52292/j.estudecon.2020.1391

Keywords:

trade, gravity model, Brazil, Asia

Abstract

The present study aimed to estimate Brazil’s potential trade with the Asian continent from 2000 to 2014, using a sample of 75 countries. To avoid problems observed in previous studies, the gravitational equation was estimated using the Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Estimator (PPML), calculating the confi dence
interval of the coeffi cients with the Delta method. The model was based on panel data with two sets of fi xed effects. In absolute terms, there would be a potential for expansion of Brazilian trade with selected Asian countries of US$ 5645 million, equivalent to 7.6% of the average annual trade observed in the period 2000-2014.

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